Ebola vaccination: if not now, when?

Ebola virus disease causes severe hemorrhagic fever, with a case-fatality rate of 50% to 90% (1). The ongoing epidemic in West Africa is the largest Ebola outbreak ever recorded and is rapidly crossing borders. The relentless epidemiologic trajectory and geographic dissemination represent a public health crisis that shows no signs of diminishing under current efforts. We believe that the time to deploy Ebola vaccines is now, as advocated in recent statements by the World Health Organization. Ebola arises sporadically via zoonosis from fruit bats (the natural reservoir) to humans, often through great apes. Human-to-human transmission occurs primarily through contact with infected body fluids. This transmission route puts health care workers, family members, and persons preparing bodies for traditional funerals at high risk for the disease (1). Although no Ebola vaccines are currently licensed, many candidates have been developed in the past decade. A DNA vaccine has been shown to be safe and immunogenic in a phase 1 clinical trial (2). In addition, a therapeutic vaccine based on recombinant vesicular stomatitis viruses (rVSVs) expressing Ebola virus surface glycoprotein was found to confer prophylactic and postexposure protection in nonhuman primates (3). Despite the promise of these and other Ebola vaccine candidates, none have advanced to late-stage human trials and licensure. The challenge in this process has been the inability to evaluate vaccine efficacy in human populations given the sporadic nature of Ebola outbreaks. For unique circumstances, such as those where conventional efficacy trials are not feasible, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has created the “animal rule,” which states that licensure can be approved on the basis of animal model studies that replicate human disease combined with safety and immunologic data from humans (4). Nonhuman primates serve as the gold standard for animal models of Ebola infection and have been used to test Ebola vaccine candidates, with promising results (Table). Alternate vaccine candidates have specific properties that must be taken into consideration for selection of the ideal vaccine under given circumstances. For example, one that requires several weeks to develop immunogenicity, such as the recombinant adenovirus–based DNA vaccine, could be appropriate in high-risk settings not currently affected by an Ebola outbreak (2). Similarly, a vaccine that remains viable at ambient temperatures, such as the Ebola subunit vaccine (5), could be stockpiled as part of a preparedness strategy. In contrast, the species-specific properties of a recombinant cytomegalovirus vaccine make it a candidate for wildlife vaccination in Ebola-endemic areas (6). Although a wildlife vaccination strategy would not be the focus of a containment strategy to control an outbreak already in a human population, it may be a component of a longer-term strategy to reduce Ebola zoonosis. With regard to the current outbreak, given that the rVSV vaccine has shown efficacy in eliciting both prophylactic and postexposure protection (3), it is probably the vaccine of choice for persons in a high-risk setting who may have already been exposed. The rVSV vaccine has also been found to be effective in primates infected with simian immunodeficiency virus (7) and may therefore be particularly well-suited for use in populations with a high prevalence of HIV. We believe that the safety risks of vaccines, particularly those found to be safe in phase 1 clinical trials, are probably negligible compared with the risks faced by health care workers in communities where the highly virulent Ebola virus is currently circulating. Possible strategies could include the vaccination of health care workers in high-risk regions. Ideally, the vaccine would be administered as soon as possible and before exposure. Nevertheless, the postexposure efficacy of the rVSV vaccine is reassuring in the context of the current outbreak, where health care workers may already have been inadvertently exposed. Another strategy that would complement the vaccination of health care workers is postexposure “ring” vaccination and quarantine of those who have probably been exposed to the virus, including vaccinating close contacts of infected persons. The rVSV vaccine would be promising for both of these target groups given its prophylactic and postexposure efficacies compared with other vaccine candidates that are slower to elicit a protective immunologic response. Epidemiologic modeling can facilitate the optimization of such vaccination strategies when vaccine supply is limited and production has to be scaled up. Primarily, an Ebola vaccine could mitigate disease transmission and protect health care workers, thus enabling an effective medical and epidemiologic response in affected areas. Secondarily, the emergency deployment of an Ebola vaccine may also serve as a source of data that could be used to further demonstrate efficacy and waning properties that are fundamental to informing preparedness strategies to prevent future outbreaks. Vaccination alone is no panacea. Cultural and socioeconomic factors and suspicion of Western medical approaches complicate all medical interventions. Epidemiologic practices, such as trace-back investigations to identify